Does everything grow exponentially?
An interesting talk by Ray Kurzweil, well worth the 40 minutes’ investment. Did he come up with Moore’s Law before Gordon Moore thought of it? Just how universal is it?
Not everyone likes what he says. Douglas Hofstadter, who wrote the best book I’ve ever read, said of Kurzweil’s and Hans Moravec’s books:
“It’s as if you took a lot of very good food and some dog excrement and blended it all up so that you can’t possibly figure out what’s good or bad. It’s an intimate mixture of rubbish and good ideas, and it’s very hard to disentangle the two, because these are smart people; they’re not stupid.”
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